eas-cli: Failing to provision selected iOS device even though it appears to work on apple.com

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Summary

Steps:

1. I run eas build --profile development --platform ios --local and log onto my Apple account.
2. It tells me “The provisioning profile is missing the following devices:” and displays my device id. I can confirm this is the true when I go to https://developer.apple.com/account/resources/profiles/list and look at the profile.
3. After I select my device to provision again it says it “Updated existing profile: *[expo] com.my.app AdHoc 1234567”, but errors out with “Failed to provision 1 of the selected devices:”.

I can confirm after refreshing on apple.com that eas did actually succeed in adding my device to the provisioning profile, so I don’t understand what’s wrong. The error suggests that my device may be processing here https://developer.apple.com/account/resources/devices/list, but it’s not - it’s active and has been there for years. I can also confirm that if I download the provisioning profile, it lists my device on it. Is eas somehow downloading an old provisioning profile?

I’ve repeated this process a bunch of times but get the same result. Also tried restarting my computer, logging out of eas and back in. Nothing works.

Managed or bare?

bare

Environment

expo-env-info 1.0.5 environment info:
    System:
      OS: macOS 13.5.1
      Shell: 5.9 - /bin/zsh
    Binaries:
      Node: 18.17.1 - ~/.nvm/versions/node/v18.17.1/bin/node
      Yarn: 1.22.19 - ~/.nvm/versions/node/v18.17.1/bin/yarn
      npm: 10.2.0 - ~/.nvm/versions/node/v18.17.1/bin/npm
      Watchman: 2023.10.23.00 - /opt/homebrew/bin/watchman
    Managers:
      CocoaPods: 1.14.2 - /Users/trevor/.rbenv/shims/pod
    SDKs:
      iOS SDK:
        Platforms: DriverKit 23.0, iOS 17.0, macOS 14.0, tvOS 17.0, watchOS 10.0
      Android SDK:
        API Levels: 28, 29, 30, 31, 33, 34
        Build Tools: 30.0.3, 33.0.0, 34.0.0
        System Images: android-34 | Google APIs ARM 64 v8a
    IDEs:
      Android Studio: 2022.3 AI-223.8836.35.2231.10671973
      Xcode: 15.0.1/15A507 - /usr/bin/xcodebuild
    npmPackages:
      react: 18.2.0 => 18.2.0 
      react-native: ^0.72.5 => 0.72.5 
    npmGlobalPackages:
      eas-cli: 5.6.0
    Expo Workflow: bare

Error output

✔ Do you want to log in to your Apple account? … yes
› Log in to your Apple Developer account to continue
✔ Apple ID: … my@email.com
› Restoring session /Users/trevor/.app-store/auth/my@email.com/cookie
✔ Select a Team › Company Inc. - Company/Organization (a8s8d8f8)
› Provider Company Inc. (12345678)
✔ Logged in Local session
✔ Bundle identifier registered com.my.app
✔ Synced capabilities: No updates
✔ Synced capability identifiers: No updates
✔ Fetched Apple distribution certificates
✔ Fetched Apple provisioning profiles
The provisioning profile is missing the following devices:
- asdfasdfasdf123412341234 (iPhone 7) (created at: 2022-02-14T17:27:11.712Z)
✔ Would you like to choose the devices to provision again? … yes
✔ Select devices for the ad hoc build: › 5 devices selected
✔ Updated existing profile: *[expo] com.my.app AdHoc 1234567
Failed to provision 1 of the selected devices:
- asdfasdfasdf123412341234 (iPhone 7) (created at: 2022-02-14T17:27:11.712Z)
Most commonly devices fail to to be provisioned while they are still being processed by Apple, which can take up to 24-72 hours. Check your Apple Developer Portal page at https://developer.apple.com/account/resources/devices/list, the devices in "Processing" status cannot be provisioned yet

Reproducible demo or steps to reproduce from a blank project

Already mentioned in Summary.